Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 72.939361 82.093009 91.441187 101.670126 112.516859 123.646752 135.901356
2025-10-05 61.588986 75.096576 89.475630 105.792178 123.671041 142.554907 163.899606
2025-10-12 54.077451 70.068431 87.619664 108.049470 130.932427 155.555833 183.845750
2025-10-19 46.646649 64.143413 83.916199 107.474948 134.380178 163.798634 198.062965
2025-10-26 40.625265 59.161525 80.692874 106.894712 137.333447 171.074529 210.826759
2025-11-02 36.225073 55.661523 78.813248 107.517346 141.355235 179.298527 224.426857
2025-11-09 31.731527 51.625208 75.950204 106.680683 143.432265 185.101834 235.108591
2025-11-16 28.293466 48.622174 74.096015 106.830080 146.479042 191.868253 246.758730
2025-11-23 24.752395 45.170213 71.437030 105.791262 147.942918 196.662075 256.026262
2025-11-30 22.628572 43.458567 70.847692 107.183562 152.223219 204.670042 268.948577
2025-12-07 20.834897 42.052520 70.538725 108.832971 156.743181 212.908455 282.101629
2025-12-14 18.244370 39.265435 68.240127 107.827818 157.913143 217.098225 290.456839
2025-12-21 15.433297 35.911310 65.028710 105.554317 157.469972 219.357628 296.575016
2025-12-28 14.893984 36.047851 66.590532 109.478425 164.744054 230.894214 313.682150
2026-01-04 13.920880 35.394105 66.987407 111.827075 170.013221 239.994941 327.892240
2026-01-11 12.180170 33.301912 65.232169 111.233504 171.505333 244.472775 336.565386
2026-01-18 10.615055 31.336961 63.545715 110.643128 172.933612 248.822883 345.047340
2026-01-25 9.510535 30.069387 62.805563 111.277799 175.887848 255.011869 355.716253
2026-02-01 8.163062 28.184631 61.037828 110.424709 176.865160 258.727072 363.374167
2026-02-08 7.169588 26.855286 60.037489 110.577044 179.105547 263.973918 372.863112
2026-02-15 6.034971 25.068923 58.226080 109.517722 179.706363 267.145270 379.804324
2026-02-22 5.471700 24.426433 58.184501 110.937484 183.552225 274.353975 391.656765
2026-03-01 5.000290 23.926518 58.340284 112.619226 187.733823 281.979280 404.020347